World Cup sportsbook betting splits — updated hourly. Follow the sharp money, not the public.
World Cup Betting Splits
The World Cup is the most-watched sporting event on the planet — and one of the sharpest betting markets of the year. Casual bettors flood in on popular nations and marquee matchups, while sharp money quietly targets value in group stage lines, underdog moneylines, and total goals markets. FadeReport tracks real World Cup sportsbook betting splits in real time, so you can see exactly where the sharp money is going before kickoff.
🔥 Sharp20+ point difference between % of money and % of bets
⚠️ Lean10–19 point difference between % of money and % of bets
Sharp Money Signals
17
🔥 Strong sharp signal+86pt
Harlem Eubank
+110◀ sharp
soccer · Moneyline
7/18, 5:00 PM
David Papot
-140
13%% of Bets88%
13%
88%
99%% of Money1%
99%
1%
Why the sharps like it:
This sharp action is landing on Eubank despite 99% of the sharp money backing him with only 13% of sharp bets, suggesting a few very large, confident wagers from respected players who see major value. The market may be overrating Papot based on name recognition or recent public perception, but the sharps are clearly identifying an edge in backing the Brit here. When you see that kind of lopsided money concentration from sharp books, it's usually a tell that the number is genuinely off.
🔥 Strong sharp signal+51pt
Alden Coria
-1100
soccer · Moneyline
7/18, 6:45 PM
Stewart Nicoll
sharp ▶+700
85%% of Bets15%
85%
15%
34%% of Money66%
34%
66%
Why the sharps like it:
The sharps are loading up on Stewart Nicoll despite public money hammering Alden Coria, suggesting the market has overvalued the popular side. With 65% of sharp money backing Nicoll but only 14% of sharp bets, we're seeing large, calculated wagers from professional bettors who clearly see value the public is missing. This kind of lopsided sharp action typically indicates an edge in team form, tactical matchup, or a mispriced line driven by casual money.
🔥 Strong sharp signal+37pt
Anna Melisano
+455◀ sharp
soccer · Moneyline
7/18, 5:45 PM
Dione Barbosa
-625
11%% of Bets89%
11%
89%
48%% of Money52%
48%
52%
Why the sharps like it:
The sharps are loading up on Melisano despite public bettors heavily backing Barbosa, creating a massive 42-point gap between sharp money and sharp bet count that signals big wagers from pros. This looks like a classic case of recreational money inflating the line on the more popular name, giving sharp bettors value on Melisano at an artificially inflated price. With only 11% of sharp bets but 53% of sharp money, the whales are clearly on one side here.
🔥 Strong sharp signal+31pt
Austin Bashi
-115◀ sharp
soccer · Moneyline
7/18, 7:45 PM
Jose Delgado
-105
30%% of Bets70%
30%
70%
61%% of Money39%
61%
39%
Why the sharps like it:
The sharps are backing Austin Bashi despite public money flooding toward Jose Delgado, suggesting the market has overvalued the popular side and created a buyable number on Bashi. With 66% of the sharp money landing on one fighter while recreational bettors lean the other way, this looks like a classic case of pros identifying value where the crowd sees none. The 38-point gap between where the smart money is going and where the public is betting signals the sharps think Delgado's line has been inflated by casual action.
🔥 Strong sharp signal+31pt
Paula Badosa
-358
soccer · Moneyline
7/18, 11:30 AM
Tamara Zidansek
sharp ▶+275
74%% of Bets26%
74%
26%
43%% of Money57%
43%
57%
🔥 Strong sharp signal+26pt
Ezra Elliott
-102◀ sharp
soccer · Moneyline
7/18, 5:15 PM
Damien Anderson
-118
69%% of Bets31%
69%
31%
95%% of Money5%
95%
5%
Why the sharps like it:
The sharps are hammering Ezra Elliott with 96% of the big money despite the public backing Damien Anderson, suggesting the market has overvalued the popular side here. This kind of lopsided sharp action with strong tier-1 signal indicates the pros see real edge in Elliott that casual bettors are missing. When smart money moves this decisively against the grain, it's usually spotting a pricing inefficiency the public hasn't caught onto yet.
🔥 Strong sharp signal+26pt
Maria Sakkari
-163◀ sharp
soccer · Moneyline
7/18, 12:30 PM
Alina Korneeva
+133
74%% of Bets26%
74%
26%
100%% of Money0%
100%
0%
🔥 Strong sharp signal+26pt
Raphael Collignon
-156◀ sharp
soccer · Moneyline
7/18, 5:00 AM
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
+128
57%% of Bets43%
57%
43%
83%% of Money17%
83%
17%
🔥 Strong sharp signal+21pt
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
+170
soccer · Moneyline
7/18, 7:00 AM
Luciano Darderi
sharp ▶-210
21%% of Bets79%
21%
79%
0%% of Money100%
0%
100%
🔥 Strong sharp signal+20pt
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
+160◀ sharp
soccer · Moneyline
7/18, 7:30 PM
Seokhyeon Ko
-192
26%% of Bets74%
26%
74%
46%% of Money54%
46%
54%
Why the sharps like it:
The sharps are getting a massive overlay on Lebosnoyani with only 20% of bets but nearly half the money, suggesting bigger wagers from informed players who see value the public is missing. Ko is drawing heavy recreational action despite no clear edge in the data, creating exactly the kind of market imbalance where sharp money finds profit. When the betting public piles on one side this hard without fundamentals to back it up, fading that sentiment is the classic contrarian play.
⚠️ Lean sharp+19pt
Pumas UNAM
+130
soccer · Moneyline
7/18, 7:00 PM
Pachuca
sharp ▶+195
63%% of Bets38%
63%
38%
43%% of Money57%
43%
57%
⚠️ Lean sharp+19pt
Club Leon
+115
soccer · Moneyline
7/17, 9:00 PM
Atlas Gdj
sharp ▶+230
60%% of Bets40%
60%
40%
41%% of Money59%
41%
59%
⚠️ Lean sharp+18pt
LA Galaxy
+185◀ sharp
soccer · Moneyline
7/17, 10:25 PM
LAFC
+115
20%% of Bets80%
20%
80%
38%% of Money62%
38%
62%
⚠️ Lean sharp+16pt
Alexander Shevchenko
+295◀ sharp
soccer · Moneyline
7/18, 7:30 AM
Stefanos Tsitsipas
-388
8%% of Bets92%
8%
92%
24%% of Money76%
24%
76%
⚠️ Lean sharp+15pt
France
-110◀ sharp
soccer · Moneyline
7/18, 5:00 PM
England
+270
65%% of Bets35%
65%
35%
80%% of Money20%
80%
20%
⚠️ Lean sharp+15pt
RJ Harris
+100
soccer · Moneyline
7/18, 6:15 PM
Alvin Hines
sharp ▶-120
77%% of Bets23%
77%
23%
62%% of Money38%
62%
38%
⚠️ Lean sharp+11pt
Juarez
-150◀ sharp
soccer · Moneyline
7/17, 11:00 PM
Puebla
+370
86%% of Bets14%
86%
14%
97%% of Money3%
97%
3%
Data sourced from real sportsbook ticket and money splits. For informational purposes only. Nothing on FadeReport constitutes betting advice or a recommendation to place any wager.
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